Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (2024)

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Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (1)Jun 1, 2024, 4:19 pm

#181

kmersh

Join Date: Mar 2015

Posts: 1,662

Originally Posted by LaserSailor

You need a healthy slug of money travelers, not just leisure travelers , to make a hub. That’s why FL won’t happen

There are many travellers willing to spend money to travel to/from Florida, I don't think it is a money thing which will keep UA from opening a hub in FL., I think what will keep UA away is having to compete with DL, UA hates to compete, they like to copy DL.

DL is king outside of MIA and AA is king in MIA, UA doesn't like to compete and DL controls JAX/MCO/TPA and many of travelers willing to spend change already fly DL ex-FL.

They would need to convince travellers to fly on UA vs. DL and that is a hard sell when the product and the lounges are a step down from DL.

jonisflying likes this.

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Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (3)Jun 1, 2024, 4:47 pm

#182

artvandalay

Join Date: Jun 2007

Location: SRQ, PDX

Programs: UA 1 MM, AA, DL

Posts: 936

Originally Posted by Unitedloyalflyer

not all leisure travelers seek out the cheapest price

have we learned nothing since covid?

UA's premium travel revenue was up 14% first qtr this year vs a year ago, and it has almost twice as many premium seats as before Covid. Leisure travelers are filling the seats that used to be the domain of the business traveler.

ContinentalFan and Unitedloyalflyer like this.

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Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (5)Jun 1, 2024, 4:51 pm

#183

Bear96

FlyerTalk Evangelist

Join Date: May 2000

Location: TPA for now. Hopefully LIS for retirement

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Originally Posted by kmersh

They would need to convince travellers to fly on UA vs. DL and that is a hard sell when the product and the lounges are a step down from DL.

Step down? Heck, UA still has no lounge AT ALL in TPA.

I am not flying enough this year to justify paying for a lounge membership but it certainly is a consideration when choosing a carrier for international trips in Business Class.

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Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (7)Jun 1, 2024, 5:19 pm

#184

JimInOhio

Join Date: Jun 2014

Programs: UA MM

Posts: 4,217

Originally Posted by Unitedloyalflyer

not all leisure travelers seek out the cheapest price

have we learned nothing since covid?

“Leisure travelers” is too broad a classification and we shouldn’t confuse those headed to the French Riviera with families wanting to go to Disney World. Those going to Disney World, by and large, are seeking the lowest air fares.

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Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (9)Jun 1, 2024, 8:12 pm

#185

beachmouse

Join Date: Aug 2012

Location: VPS

Programs: IHG Diamond, Delta PM, Hilton Gold, Accor Gold, Marriott Silver

Posts: 7,338

Originally Posted by kmersh

I will stay out of the meteorological conversation as I have zero clue.

TPA to my mind is less ideal to MCO if not for any other reason than that TPA has less space and less runways overall, while MCO has two 12,000 ft runways, a 10k ft runway and a iirc a 9,800 ft runway.

While TPA is no DCA, it’s also smack in the middle of suburbia- runway expansion is cost-prohibitive and concourse expansion is probably more expensive than a lot of places too.

As for hurricanes, at some point the Tampa Bay deflector shield is going to give out, and dang, it’s gonna be really really bad.

SPN Lifer likes this.

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Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (11)Jun 2, 2024, 11:40 am

#186

dmurphynj

Join Date: Aug 2010

Location: Morris County, NJ

Programs: UA 1K/*G, Avis Pres, Marriott Plat

Posts: 2,318

Originally Posted by Unitedloyalflyer

coming from a meteorologist, that is a bunch of hooey. It is luck, not any forcefield that has resulted in no hurricanes.

Yes, Tampa is not in the most likely place, but it is most certainly a threatened city

Of course there's no actual forcefield or anything - I just meant that over the last 100 years, it's been dang lucky and seems like hurricanes - even on a direct path - turn and have avoided directly impacting Tampa. They sure have a good streak going, all things considered.

As they say - "Past performance is no guarantee of future results"...

But I really don't consider TPA any more or less hazardous than the existing hub locations - SFO (fog/earthquakes/Asiana pilots), IAH (storms/hurricanes), ORD (wind/winter), IAD (politicians), EWR (hurricanes, earthquakes, power outages, flooding, NYC residents) ... DEN comes out on top when it comes to hazards, for the most part. Even their snowstorms are handled extremely efficiently.

Sorry if you thought I meant there's an actual reason storms avoid Tampa -- just plain dumb luck.

Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (12)

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Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (13)Jun 2, 2024, 11:51 am

#187

Unitedloyalflyer

Join Date: Jun 2021

Location: Houston, TX

Programs: UA silver, Bonvoy gold

Posts: 2,853

Originally Posted by JimInOhio

“Leisure travelers” is too broad a classification and we shouldn’t confuse those headed to the French Riviera with families wanting to go to Disney World. Those going to Disney World, by and large, are seeking the lowest air fares.

have you seen the prices at disney these days? A family who is worried about cheapest airfare is not going to be shelling out 700-800 for a day for a family of 4 at disney.

Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (14)

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Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (15)Jun 2, 2024, 12:02 pm

#188

JimInOhio

Join Date: Jun 2014

Programs: UA MM

Posts: 4,217

Originally Posted by Unitedloyalflyer

have you seen the prices at disney these days? A family who is worried about cheapest airfare is not going to be shelling out 700-800 for a day for a family of 4 at disney.

Are you saying there’s no difference between those going to Orlando and those going to Nice?

Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (16)

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Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (17)Jun 2, 2024, 12:05 pm

#189

Unitedloyalflyer

Join Date: Jun 2021

Location: Houston, TX

Programs: UA silver, Bonvoy gold

Posts: 2,853

Originally Posted by JimInOhio

Are you saying there’s no difference between those going to Orlando and those going to Nice?

and the difference in premium cabin seats reflects that. Instead of spending 6K for a premium ticket, it is 600-800 to orlando

Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (18)

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Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (19)Jun 2, 2024, 12:45 pm

#190

kmersh

Join Date: Mar 2015

Posts: 1,662

Originally Posted by Bear96

Step down? Heck, UA still has no lounge AT ALL in TPA.

I am not flying enough this year to justify paying for a lounge membership but it certainly is a consideration when choosing a carrier for international trips in Business Class.

I am sure that they would build a UA Club, but the average UA Club vs. the average DL SkyClub, the SkyClub is nicer and in many cases the DL SkyClub employee is generally nicer too.

Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (20)

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Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (21)Jun 2, 2024, 7:42 pm

#191

Seby12

Join Date: Jan 2016

Location: JAX

Programs: UA

Posts: 277

If a new hub gets built, it’ll obviously be JAX!
/s

Room to expand, check.
Low operating costs, check.
Good location for both inter-southern and south-Caribbean traffic, check.
Enough beaches to rid the city of its reputation…erhh…ummm…no Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (22)

(Please all we want is 1 international flight)

Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (23)

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Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (24)Jun 2, 2024, 9:29 pm

#192

SPN Lifer

FlyerTalk Evangelist

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Posts: 15,377

Originally Posted by SPN Lifer (Post # 175)

Being inland, and at a very slightly higher elevation, Orlando is safer from hurricane flooding.

Originally Posted by kmersh (Post # 178)

TPA to my mind is less ideal to MCO if not for any other reason than that TPA has less space and less runways overall, while MCO has two 12,000 ft runways, a 10k ft runway and a iirc a 9,800 ft runway.

Originally Posted by beachmouse (Post # 185)

While TPA is no DCA, it’s also smack in the middle of suburbia- runway expansion is cost-prohibitive . . . .

Originally Posted by Seby12 (Post # 191)

If a new hub gets built, it’ll obviously be JAX!

Originally Posted by dmurphynj (Post # 186)

I really don't consider TPA any more or less hazardous than the existing hub locations . . . .

The most relevant comparison is between the various Florida locales. In the long run, MCO has the advantage over the coastal alternatives.

Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (25)

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Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (26)Jun 3, 2024, 3:04 am

#193

LaserSailor

Join Date: Oct 2012

Location: NYC

Programs: AADULtArer

Posts: 5,894

Originally Posted by JimInOhio

Are you saying there’s no difference between those going to Orlando and those going to Nice?

one for Nice, the other for Mice ?

SPN Lifer, Longboater and hhdl like this.

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Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (28)Jun 3, 2024, 5:30 am

#194

SPN Lifer

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Originally Posted by Unitedloyalflyer (Post # 187)

have you seen the prices at disney these days? A family who is worried about cheapest airfare is not going to be shelling out 700-800 for a day for a family of 4 at disney.

Originally Posted by JimInOhio (Post # 188)

Are you saying there’s no difference between those going to Orlando and those going to Nice?

Originally Posted by LaserSailor (Post # 193)

one for Nice, the other for Mice ?

And probably less laser sailing in Orlando (MCO) than in Nice, France (NCE), TPA, JAX or Annapolis.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laser_(dinghy)

Yet there is clearly a market for expensive leisure travel to Orlando, just as there is to the French Riviera. It would be pure speculation to assert that the latter outweighs the former. UA has the data.

Similarly, would there be significantly more business travel from the USA to NCE than MCO? Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (29)

Rather than comparisons with foreign destinations, we should be comparing the potential Florida hubs. Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (30)

Considering the inevitability of climate change and hurricane flooding, MCO wins hands down.

LaserSailor likes this.

Last edited by SPN Lifer; Jun 3, 2024 at 5:48 am

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Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (32)Jun 3, 2024, 6:59 am

#195

kmersh

Join Date: Mar 2015

Posts: 1,662

Originally Posted by SPN Lifer

And probably less laser sailing in Orlando (MCO) than in Nice, France (NCE), TPA, JAX or Annapolis.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laser_(dinghy)

Yet there is clearly a market for expensive leisure travel to Orlando, just as there is to the French Riviera. It would be pure speculation to assert that the latter outweighs the former. UA has the data.

Similarly, would there be significantly more business travel from the USA to NCE than MCO? Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (33)

Rather than comparisons with foreign destinations, we should be comparing the potential Florida hubs. Rumor: United consider building a new hub in the South? - FlyerTalk Forums (34)

Considering the inevitability of climate change and hurricane flooding, MCO wins hands down.

I am an Orlando native and Orlando is much more than theme parks, we have some fairly large companies here (Lockheed Martin and Darden come to mind), so there is business travel here too, in fact a neighbor works for Darden and he is a DL360 (DL's version of Global Service).

There is also "luxury leisure travel" here, though I tend to think that PBI maybe the cream of the crop when it comes to folks willing to spend serious change to fly on commercial airplanes.

Years ago now, I was friendly with the CO Station Manager at PBI and she repeatedly told me that PBI punched above it weight in terms of premium passengers.

SPN Lifer and Adelphos like this.

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